Nigeria’s Inflation Eases Slightly To 15.10% In January 2026

Nigeria’s headline inflation edged down to 15.10 per cent in January 2026, slightly lower than the 15.15 per cent recorded in December 2025, the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) reported on Monday. The modest decline came despite earlier projections by analysts that inflation could rise to 19 per cent in the month. The CPI fell to 127.4 in January from 131.2 in December, representing a 3.8-point drop. Year-on-year, the headline inflation rate is 12.51 percentage points lower than the 27.61 per cent recorded in January 2025. Month-on-month, inflation fell by 2.88 per cent in January, following a 0.54 per cent rise in December, indicating a reduction in average price levels. The NBS stated: “The Consumer Price Index declined to 127.4 in January 2026, reflecting a 3.8-point decrease from the preceding month. Headline inflation eased to 15.10 per cent, down from 15.15 per cent in December 2025, a decline of 0.05 percentage points.” The bureau noted that the twelve-month average CPI ending January 2026 was 21.97 per cent, up from 17.59 per cent in January 2025. Urban and Rural Inflation Urban inflation dropped to 15.36 per cent year-on-year, from 29.45 per cent in January 2025, while rural inflation fell to 14.44 per cent from 25.04 per cent. Month-on-month, urban prices declined by 2.72 per cent and rural prices by 3.29 per cent. Food and Core Inflation Food inflation slowed to 8.89 per cent year-on-year, down from 29.63 per cent in January 2025, while month-on-month food prices fell by 6.02 per cent. The NBS attributed the slowdown to lower prices for staples including water yam, eggs, green peas, groundnut oil, soya beans, palm oil, maize grains, guinea corn, beans, beef, and cassava. Core inflation, which excludes volatile agricultural and energy items, stood at 17.72 per cent year-on-year, compared with 25.27 per cent in January 2025. Month-on-month, core inflation decreased by 1.69 per cent. State-Level Inflation Among states, Benue recorded the highest year-on-year inflation at 22.48 per cent, followed by Kogi (20.98 per cent) and the Federal Capital Territory (19.25 per cent). Ebonyi (8.72 per cent), Katsina (8.94 per cent), and Imo (10.61 per cent) had the lowest rates. For month-on-month changes, Imo and Ondo posted the largest increases at 1.93 per cent and 1.932 per cent, while Cross River, Ogun, and Kogi recorded the sharpest declines at negative 6.34 per cent, negative 6.30 per cent, and negative 6.03 per cent, respectively. In food inflation, Kogi led with 19.84 per cent, followed by Benue (18.38 per cent) and Adamawa (17.29 per cent), while Ebonyi, Abia, and Imo had the slowest increases. The figures reflect continued easing in Nigeria’s inflationary pressures, particularly in food prices, providing some relief for households after periods of high price growth.

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Nigeria Inflation Rises To 15.15 Percent In December As Food Prices Ease

Nigeria’s inflation climbed to 15.15 percent in December 2025, up from 14.45 percent in November, according to the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS). The CPI data released on Thursday showed that the overall price level increased by 0.7 percent month-on-month. Food prices, however, eased during the period, with food inflation falling to 10.84 percent in December from 11.08 percent in November. Compared to December 2024, food inflation slowed significantly from 39.84 percent. “The Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose to 131.2 in December 2025, up by 0.7 points from 130.5 in November,” the NBS report noted. The bureau added that the December headline inflation of 15.15 percent was lower than November’s 17.33 percent and down 19.65 percent from the 34.80 percent recorded in December 2024. “This indicates a year-on-year decrease in headline inflation in December 2025 compared to the same month last year, though based on a different reference year (November 2009 = 100),” the report explained. The figures come after analysts had projected a rise in inflation for December.

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Nigeria’s Inflation Slows to 14.45% in November 2025 as Food Prices Ease

Nigeria’s headline inflation slowed in November 2025 as consumer price pressures eased under the new base year, according to the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS). The latest Consumer Price Index (CPI) report, released on Monday, showed the CPI rising to 130.5 points in November from 128.9 points in October, a month-on-month increase of 1.6 points. Despite the rise in CPI, the year-on-year headline inflation rate fell to 14.45 per cent, down from 16.05 per cent in October. On a monthly basis, inflation stood at 1.22 per cent in November, higher than the 0.93 per cent recorded in October, indicating that prices still increased in the short term despite the moderation in annual inflation. Compared with November 2024, headline inflation was 20.15 percentage points lower, largely reflecting the effects of rebasing the CPI from 2009 to 2024. The twelve-month average CPI ending November 2025 increased by 20.41 per cent, a slowdown from the 32.77 per cent recorded over the same period in 2024. Food and non-alcoholic beverages remained the largest contributors to headline inflation, accounting for 5.78 percentage points, followed by restaurants and accommodation services (1.87 points) and transport (1.54 points). Housing, water, electricity, gas, and other fuels contributed 1.22 points, while education and health accounted for 0.90 and 0.88 points, respectively. Food and non-alcoholic beverages also drove month-on-month price increases, contributing 0.49 points, followed by restaurants and accommodation at 0.16 points and transport at 0.13 points. Regionally, urban inflation fell to 13.61 per cent year-on-year in November, down sharply from 37.10 per cent in November 2024. Rural inflation was higher at 15.15 per cent but still significantly lower than the 32.27 per cent recorded a year earlier. Month-on-month, urban inflation slowed to 0.95 per cent, while rural inflation rose to 1.88 per cent, showing stronger price pressures in rural areas. Food inflation moderated on an annual basis, falling to 11.08 per cent in November from 39.93 per cent in November 2024. However, month-on-month food prices rose by 1.13 per cent after contracting by 0.37 per cent in October, driven by increases in dried tomatoes, cassava tubers, shelled periwinkle, ground pepper, eggs, crayfish, egusi, oxtail, and fresh onions. The twelve-month average food inflation rate was 19.68 per cent, compared with 38.67 per cent in 2024. Core inflation, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, fell to 18.04 per cent year-on-year in November from 28.75 per cent in November 2024, while month-on-month core inflation eased slightly to 1.28 per cent. Other sub-indices showed farm produce inflation at 0.79 per cent, energy inflation at 1.08 per cent, services inflation at 1.82 per cent, and goods inflation at 0.79 per cent. At the state level, Rivers recorded the highest year-on-year all-items inflation at 17.78 per cent, followed by Ogun (17.65 per cent) and Ekiti (16.77 per cent), while Plateau had the lowest at 9.13 per cent. Month-on-month, Bayelsa led with a 6.58 per cent increase, followed by Gombe (5.11 per cent) and Edo (4.45 per cent), while Plateau, Delta, and Kaduna recorded declines. Food inflation by state showed Kogi with the highest year-on-year increase at 17.83 per cent, followed by Ogun (16.52 per cent) and Rivers (16.11 per cent). Month-on-month food price increases were highest in Yobe (9.52 per cent), Katsina (6.61 per cent), and Ondo (6.04 per cent), while Imo, Nasarawa, and Enugu saw declines. The NBS cautioned that comparisons between states should be interpreted carefully, as CPI weights vary according to local consumption patterns, making direct comparisons of inflation baskets potentially misleading.

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Nigeria’s Inflation Slows To 16.05% In October, Food Prices Ease

Nigeria’s inflation rate slowed to 16.05 per cent in October 2025, continuing a steady decline over the past several months, the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) has revealed. According to the NBS Consumer Price Index and Inflation report shared on its verified X (formerly Twitter) account on Monday, the figure represents a drop from 18.02 per cent recorded in September. On a month-to-month basis, however, headline inflation increased slightly by 0.93 per cent. The report also indicated a modest relief in food prices, with food inflation decreasing by 0.37 per cent compared to the previous month. This marks the seventh straight month in which Nigeria’s inflation rate has eased, signaling gradual relief for consumers amid ongoing economic pressures.

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Nigeria Inflation Slows to 18.02 Percent in September, Sixth Month of Decline

Nigeria’s inflation rate continued its decline in September 2025, easing to 18.02 percent from 20.12 percent in August, marking the sixth consecutive monthly drop, the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) reported. Food prices also moderated, with food inflation falling to 19.53 percent in September from 21.87 percent in August, supported by improved supply and seasonal harvests. Economists say the easing inflation may influence monetary policy. The Central Bank of Nigeria recently cut its benchmark interest rate by 50 basis points to 27 percent—the first reduction since 2020—in a bid to stabilize the economy and work toward single-digit inflation.

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