
Buhari’s Economic Legacy: A Presidency Marked by Reform Recession and Resilience
As tributes continue to pour in following the death of former President Muhammadu Buhari, many are reflecting on the sweeping economic transformations—both turbulent and transformative—that defined his eight-year civilian presidency from 2015 to 2023. Buhari, a retired Major General and one of Nigeria’s most consequential political figures, first ruled as military head of state from 1983 to 1985 before returning to power as an elected leader in 2015. His administration pursued an ambitious anti-corruption agenda, economic reform strategies, and efforts to combat insecurity—but it was the economy that bore the deepest marks of his tenure. Below is a summary of key economic events that shaped Buhari’s presidency: Nigeria’s Twin RecessionsBuhari’s administration saw two economic recessions, a first in Nigeria’s history under a single government.The first occurred in 2016, triggered by the global oil price crash and mismanagement of the naira exchange regime.The second came in 2020, driven by the COVID-19 pandemic, which disrupted global supply chains and battered oil revenues. Pandemic Stimulus and Poverty Reduction EffortsIn response to COVID-19, the government launched a N2.3 trillion Economic Sustainability Plan (ESP) aimed at job creation and MSME support.Buhari also inaugurated a national strategy to lift 100 million Nigerians out of poverty over ten years—primarily through agricultural and economic diversification programmes. Treasury Single Account (TSA) ImplementationThough introduced under President Goodluck Jonathan, the TSA was fully enforced under Buhari in September 2015, consolidating government revenues under the CBN and improving fiscal transparency. Support for Nigerians in Global FinanceBuhari’s diplomatic push led to Nigerians occupying key positions: Border Closures and Food Security PushIn August 2019, Buhari ordered a partial closure of land borders to curb smuggling and promote local rice production.Critics argued the move exacerbated inflation, and borders were eventually reopened in December 2020. Oil Production Woes and TheftDespite Nigeria’s status as Africa’s largest oil producer, crude output plummeted during Buhari’s second term.In 2022, output fell below 1 million barrels per day, its lowest in decades.Rampant oil theft and pipeline vandalism cost the nation over $2 billion in losses in just eight months of 2022. NNPC CommercialisationIn a landmark reform, the Nigerian National Petroleum Corporation (NNPC) was converted into NNPC Limited, a fully commercial entity in July 2022.Buhari described it as free from fiscal regulations and political interference, positioning it to operate more competitively. Debt Explosion and Fiscal DeficitsUnder Buhari, Nigeria’s debt profile skyrocketed.Total public debt rose from N42 trillion in 2015 to N77 trillion by 2023.External debt surged from $7.35 billion to $37.2 billion.Ways and means borrowing from the CBN exceeded N25 trillion.Debt servicing costs rose from N1.06 trillion in 2015 to over N5.2 trillion by 2022. Currency Volatility and DevaluationThe naira depreciated sharply: Controversial Naira RedesignIn late 2022, Buhari unveiled redesigned N200, N500, and N1000 notes to curb counterfeiting and ransom payments.The rollout was widely criticised as chaotic and cosmetic. Many Nigerians described it as a mere “repainting.” Fuel Crisis and Off-Spec Petrol ScandalIn early 2022, substandard petrol led to a nationwide fuel crisis.The NNPC blamed suppliers like MRS, Oando, and Duke Oil. A technical committee was formed to investigate, but disruptions persisted. Despite criticism of his economic management, Buhari’s defenders cite his anti-corruption drive, infrastructure investment, and efforts to restructure Nigeria’s fiscal systems as lasting legacies. As Nigeria reflects on his passing, the economic imprint of Muhammadu Buhari’s presidency will remain deeply contested—and impossible to ignore. SourBy TheCable Staff | 14 July 2025